Terms of Service

For the purposes of these Terms of Service, the following terms shall have the meanings ascribed to them below. Defined terms used in the singular include the plural and vice versa.

The Arbitix platform, including the web application accessible at arbitix.io, all associated APIs, data feeds, browser extensions, mobile applications, and any related software, tools, or features operated by Arbitix, whether accessed directly or through third-party integrations.

All data, information, text, graphics, charts, visualizations, algorithms, rankings, scores, calculations, tags, classifications, market labels, matching results, arbitrage indicators, and any other material made available through the Service, whether generated by Arbitix, derived from third-party sources, or produced by automated processing.

Any individual, company, organization, agent, or automated system that accesses, browses, registers for, or otherwise uses the Service in any capacity, regardless of whether such access is authorized or unauthorized.

Any data, information, insight, inference, score, ranking, probability adjustment, arbitrage spread, matching result, tag assignment, or other output that is produced, calculated, inferred, or generated — in whole or in part — by Arbitix's proprietary systems processing raw or third-party source data.

The aggregated, normalized, tagged, matched, ranked, and otherwise processed prediction market dataset maintained by Arbitix, including without limitation: cross-platform market pairings, similarity scores, arbitrage spreads, tag taxonomies, trending rankings, price history compilations, and all Derived Data. Proprietary Data constitutes a protectable compilation and trade secret of Arbitix regardless of whether any individual component is available from public sources.

Any product, platform, application, tool, dataset, API, or service that, in whole or in part, aggregates, normalizes, compares, or analyzes data from prediction market platforms, or that provides arbitrage detection, cross-platform market matching, or probability tracking functionality substantially similar to the Service.

Jhonatan Junio, the individual operator of the Arbitix platform, and any entity through which the Service is subsequently operated.

2.1 These Terms of Service constitute a legally binding agreement between you and Arbitix. By accessing the Service — including without limitation by visiting arbitix.io, creating an account, clicking "Sign Up," "Accept," or any similar button, or by simply browsing or using any feature of the Service — you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agreed to be bound by these Terms in their entirety, along with our Privacy Policy, which is incorporated herein by reference.

2.2 If you are accessing the Service on behalf of a company, organization, or other legal entity, you represent and warrant that you have the authority to bind that entity to these Terms, and all references to "you" shall refer to both you as an individual and that entity.

2.3 You must be at least 18 years of age to use the Service. By using the Service, you represent that you meet this requirement.

2.4 If you do not agree to these Terms, you are not permitted to access or use the Service and must immediately cease any use thereof.

3.1 Limited License. Subject to your continued compliance with these Terms, Arbitix grants you a limited, non-exclusive, non-transferable, non-sublicensable, revocable license to access and use the Service solely for your own personal or internal business purposes of monitoring, researching, and analyzing prediction market data.

3.2 Scope of License. This license permits you to view Content through the Service's user interface only. It does not grant you any right to: (a) download, cache, or store Content beyond what a standard browser temporarily caches for display purposes; (b) access Content through any programmatic, automated, or scripted means except through APIs expressly made available to you under a separate written agreement; (c) reproduce, redistribute, sublicense, or commercially exploit any Content; or (d) create derivative works based on the Service or its Content.

3.3 Revocability. Arbitix reserves the right to revoke this license at any time, for any reason or no reason, with or without notice.

3.4 No Implied Licenses. No license or right is granted by implication, estoppel, or otherwise except as expressly set forth in these Terms. All rights not expressly granted herein are reserved by Arbitix.

4.1 Ownership. The Service and all Content are the exclusive property of Arbitix and its licensors. Arbitix asserts and reserves all intellectual property rights in and to the Service and Content, including without limitation all rights under copyright, trade secret, trademark, trade dress, patent, and any other applicable law worldwide.

4.2 Protected Elements. Without limiting the foregoing, the following elements of the Service are proprietary and exclusively owned by Arbitix:

4.3 Trade Secrets. Arbitix's algorithms, data processing pipelines, matching logic, scoring methodologies, and Proprietary Data compilations constitute trade secrets of Arbitix protected under the Defend Trade Secrets Act (DTSA), 18 U.S.C. § 1836 et seq., and all applicable state and international trade secret laws. Unauthorized acquisition, disclosure, or use of these trade secrets may subject violators to civil liability and criminal prosecution under 18 U.S.C. § 1832 and § 1836.

4.4 Trademarks. "Arbitix," the Arbitix logo, and all related product names, service names, slogans, and trade dress are trademarks or service marks of Arbitix. Nothing in these Terms grants you any right to use Arbitix's trademarks, trade names, logos, or other brand identifiers without prior written consent.

4.5 Third-Party Data. Certain raw data displayed through the Service originates from third-party prediction market platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, Manifold, PredictIt, and others). Such data remains subject to the respective terms and intellectual property rights of those platforms. The selection, processing, normalization, and arrangement of such data by Arbitix constitutes an original compilation and is separately owned by Arbitix.

5.1 Reverse Engineering. You shall not, and shall not permit any third party to, directly or indirectly reverse engineer, decompile, disassemble, deobfuscate, or otherwise attempt to derive, reconstruct, identify, or discover the source code, underlying algorithms, data structures, matching logic, scoring methodologies, or trade secrets of the Service or any component thereof.

5.2 Automated Data Collection. You shall not access or collect data from the Service through any automated means, including without limitation bots, spiders, web crawlers, data harvesting tools, screen scrapers, headless browsers, browser automation scripts, or any other automated data extraction or collection technique, except through official APIs expressly made available to you by Arbitix under a separate written agreement.

5.3 Competitive Development. You shall not use your access to the Service, or any insights, observations, data, or information obtained through the Service, to design, develop, build, enhance, train, or improve any Competing Service or product. This prohibition includes using the Service to inform architectural decisions, feature sets, data pipeline designs, or UI/UX patterns of any competing platform.

5.4 AI and Machine Learning Training. You shall not use any Content, Proprietary Data, Derived Data, or any output of the Service to train, fine-tune, evaluate, or otherwise develop any artificial intelligence, machine learning, large language model, neural network, or similar algorithmic system, whether for your own use or for commercial distribution.

5.5 Database Construction. You shall not use any Content to construct, populate, supplement, or enhance any database, data product, data feed, or data repository, whether for internal use or external distribution. You shall not systematically download, cache, reproduce, or store Content for the purpose of creating a substitute dataset or competing data product.

5.6 Unauthorized Access. You shall not access the Service through any means other than the interfaces expressly provided by Arbitix. You shall not circumvent, disable, bypass, or otherwise interfere with any rate limits, access controls, authentication mechanisms, IP blocks, geographic restrictions, or other technical measures implemented by Arbitix to protect the Service. Unauthorized access to or use of computer systems or networks may constitute a criminal offense under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, 18 U.S.C. § 1030, and similar laws.

5.7 Commercial Redistribution. You shall not reproduce, publish, redistribute, resell, sublicense, transmit, broadcast, or otherwise make available to any third party any Content, data, or outputs from the Service on a commercial basis or as a standalone data product, without the prior written consent of Arbitix.

5.8 Benchmarking. You shall not use the Service, or any data, metrics, or insights obtained therefrom, to benchmark, evaluate, or compare the Service against any Competing Service that you are developing, operating, or contributing to, or to publish comparative analyses that would benefit a Competing Service.

5.9 Architectural Intelligence. You shall not monitor, analyze, or intercept network traffic, API calls, data payloads, response schemas, or metadata associated with your use of the Service for the purpose of discovering, mapping, or replicating the Service's technical architecture, data models, endpoint structures, or system design.

5.10 Security Circumvention. You shall not disable, damage, circumvent, or otherwise interfere with any security feature, access control, encryption, digital rights management system, or other protective mechanism incorporated into or associated with the Service.

5.11 Additional Prohibited Conduct. In addition to the foregoing, you shall not: (a) use the Service for any unlawful purpose or in violation of any applicable law or regulation; (b) impersonate any person or entity or misrepresent your affiliation; (c) upload or transmit any malware, virus, or malicious code; (d) interfere with or disrupt the integrity, performance, or availability of the Service; (e) attempt to gain unauthorized access to any portion or feature of the Service or any related systems; or (f) remove, alter, or obscure any proprietary notices or labels on the Service.

6.1 Operators, employees, contractors, consultants, advisors, investors, and agents of any Competing Service are expressly prohibited from accessing or using the Service in any capacity — including for personal research, competitive analysis, market comparison, or any other purpose — without the prior express written consent of Arbitix.

6.2 Any access to the Service by a person subject to Section 6.1 constitutes unauthorized access and a material breach of these Terms, regardless of whether such access was conducted using a personal account, a shared account, an anonymous session, or through any technical proxy or intermediary.

6.3 If you are uncertain whether your professional activities bring you within the scope of this prohibition, you must contact Arbitix at founder@arbitix.io to obtain written clearance before accessing the Service.

7.1 You may not use the Service, or any data or information obtained through the Service, to conduct competitive intelligence activities, including without limitation: assessing the data coverage, data quality, feature completeness, or competitive positioning of the Service relative to any Competing Service; or providing any such assessment to any third party.

7.2 You may not publish, share, or otherwise disseminate any benchmarking results, comparative analyses, or performance evaluations of the Service without the prior written consent of Arbitix.

7.3 Any intelligence gathered through authorized use of the Service for personal prediction market research purposes does not create any license or permission for competitive use of such intelligence, and does not waive any rights of Arbitix under these Terms.

8.1 As between you and Arbitix, Arbitix owns all right, title, and interest in and to: (a) all Proprietary Data; (b) all Derived Data; (c) all aggregated, normalized, tagged, matched, ranked, and compiled datasets maintained by the Service; and (d) any and all databases, data structures, and data compilations produced by or through the Service.

8.2 The fact that certain raw inputs to the Service are obtained from publicly accessible third-party sources does not diminish or impair Arbitix's ownership of the resulting compilations, which represent substantial creative selection, coordination, and arrangement by Arbitix.

8.3 No use of the Service creates any ownership or proprietary interest in the Service's data on your behalf. Any rights you may have to data you personally submit to the Service are governed exclusively by our Privacy Policy.

9.1 If you submit, transmit, or otherwise communicate to Arbitix any ideas, suggestions, feedback, feature requests, enhancement proposals, bug reports, or other information relating to the Service ("Feedback"), you hereby irrevocably assign to Arbitix all right, title, and interest in and to such Feedback, including all intellectual property rights therein, without restriction and without any obligation of compensation, attribution, or confidentiality to you.

9.2 Arbitix shall be free to use, reproduce, disclose, distribute, modify, and commercialize any Feedback for any purpose, in any medium, without restriction. You waive any moral rights or similar rights you may have in any Feedback in any jurisdiction that recognizes such rights.

9.3 You represent and warrant that any Feedback you provide does not infringe the intellectual property rights of any third party and that you have the full right and authority to make the assignment described in Section 9.1.

10.1 Subscription Tiers. The Service is offered under multiple subscription tiers, including a free tier and paid tiers (currently "Pro" and "Team"). The features, data refresh rates, API access, alert limits, and other capabilities available to you depend on your subscription tier, as described on the pricing page at arbitix.io/dashboard/pricing.

10.2 Recurring Billing. Paid subscriptions are billed on a recurring basis (monthly or annually, as selected) using the payment method you provide. By subscribing, you authorize Arbitix (or its payment processor) to charge your payment method on each billing cycle until you cancel. All fees are stated in U.S. dollars and are exclusive of applicable taxes unless otherwise stated.

10.3 Free Trial. Arbitix may offer free trial periods for paid tiers at its sole discretion. At the end of any free trial, your subscription will automatically convert to the applicable paid tier unless you cancel before the trial period ends.

10.4 Cancellation. You may cancel your subscription at any time through your account settings. Cancellation will take effect at the end of your current billing period, and you will retain access to paid features until that date. Arbitix does not provide refunds for partial billing periods except where required by applicable law.

10.5 Price Changes. Arbitix reserves the right to modify subscription prices at any time. Price changes for existing subscribers will be communicated with at least 30 days' notice and will take effect on the next billing cycle following the notice period.

10.6 Downgrades. If you downgrade your subscription, you will lose access to features associated with the higher tier at the end of your current billing period. Downgrading does not entitle you to any refund.

10.7 Failed Payments. If your payment fails, Arbitix may suspend or restrict your access to paid features until payment is successfully processed. Continued failure to pay may result in termination of your account.

11.1 All probability data, prices, spreads, arbitrage indicators, and other market information displayed through the Service are sourced from third-party platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. Arbitix makes no representation, warranty, or guarantee regarding the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or fitness for any particular purpose of any such data.

11.2 Market data may be delayed, incomplete, inaccurate, or outdated. Free tier data is updated on a periodic basis (approximately every 5 minutes) and is not real-time. Even real-time data may be subject to technical latency and platform-side delays.

11.3 Prediction markets carry inherent risk. Past probability movements are not indicative of future results. You should not make financial or trading decisions based solely on information provided by the Service without conducting your own independent research and analysis.

11.4 Arbitix is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or financial institution. Arbitix is not licensed or registered as such in any jurisdiction. The Service does not facilitate the execution of any trade or financial transaction.

12.1 THE SERVICE AND ALL CONTENT ARE PROVIDED "AS IS" AND "AS AVAILABLE" WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED. TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, ARBITIX EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION: (A) ANY IMPLIED WARRANTY OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, TITLE, OR NON-INFRINGEMENT; (B) ANY WARRANTY ARISING FROM COURSE OF DEALING, USAGE, OR TRADE PRACTICE; AND (C) ANY WARRANTY THAT THE SERVICE WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED, ERROR-FREE, SECURE, ACCURATE, COMPLETE, OR FREE OF HARMFUL COMPONENTS.

12.2 ARBITIX DOES NOT WARRANT THAT: (A) THE SERVICE WILL MEET YOUR REQUIREMENTS OR EXPECTATIONS; (B) ANY DATA OR INFORMATION OBTAINED THROUGH THE SERVICE WILL BE ACCURATE OR RELIABLE; (C) ANY ERRORS IN THE SERVICE WILL BE CORRECTED; OR (D) THE SERVICE OR ANY SERVERS HOSTING THE SERVICE ARE FREE OF VIRUSES OR OTHER HARMFUL COMPONENTS.

12.3 YOUR USE OF THE SERVICE IS AT YOUR SOLE RISK. SOME JURISDICTIONS DO NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OF CERTAIN WARRANTIES, SO THE ABOVE EXCLUSIONS MAY NOT APPLY TO YOU IN FULL.

13.1 TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, IN NO EVENT SHALL ARBITIX, ITS OWNER, OFFICERS, AGENTS, LICENSORS, OR SERVICE PROVIDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, EXEMPLARY, OR PUNITIVE DAMAGES, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION DAMAGES FOR LOSS OF PROFITS, REVENUE, DATA, GOODWILL, BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY, OR OTHER INTANGIBLE LOSSES, ARISING OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH YOUR ACCESS TO OR USE OF (OR INABILITY TO ACCESS OR USE) THE SERVICE, REGARDLESS OF THE THEORY OF LIABILITY (CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR OTHERWISE) AND EVEN IF ARBITIX HAS BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.

13.2 IN NO EVENT SHALL ARBITIX'S AGGREGATE LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ALL CLAIMS ARISING OUT OF OR RELATED TO THESE TERMS OR YOUR USE OF THE SERVICE EXCEED THE GREATER OF: (A) THE TOTAL SUBSCRIPTION FEES ACTUALLY PAID BY YOU TO ARBITIX DURING THE TWELVE (12) MONTHS IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING THE EVENT GIVING RISE TO THE CLAIM; OR (B) ONE HUNDRED U.S. DOLLARS (USD $100.00).

13.3 THE LIMITATIONS SET FORTH IN THIS SECTION SHALL APPLY REGARDLESS OF THE FORM OF ACTION AND WHETHER THE CLAIM IS BASED ON CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR ANY OTHER LEGAL THEORY. SOME JURISDICTIONS DO NOT ALLOW CERTAIN LIMITATIONS OF LIABILITY, SO THESE LIMITATIONS MAY NOT APPLY TO YOU IN FULL.

14.1 You shall defend, indemnify, and hold harmless Arbitix and its owner, agents, licensors, successors, and assigns from and against any and all claims, demands, suits, proceedings, liabilities, damages, losses, costs, and expenses (including reasonable attorneys' fees) arising out of or related to:

14.2 Arbitix reserves the right to assume exclusive control of the defense of any matter otherwise subject to indemnification by you, at your expense. You agree to cooperate with Arbitix's defense of such claims. You shall not settle any claim without Arbitix's prior written consent.

15.1 You acknowledge and agree that any breach or threatened breach of Sections 3 (License Grant), 4 (Intellectual Property), 5 (Prohibited Uses), 6 (Competitor Access Prohibition), 7 (No Benchmarking), or 8 (Data Ownership) of these Terms would cause irreparable harm to Arbitix for which monetary damages would be an inadequate remedy.

15.2 Accordingly, in addition to all other remedies available at law or in equity, Arbitix shall be entitled to seek immediate injunctive or other equitable relief to restrain any such breach or threatened breach, without the necessity of posting any bond or other security, and without the necessity of proving actual damages.

15.3 You expressly waive any requirement that Arbitix post a bond or other security as a condition to obtaining such equitable relief, and you consent to the granting of such relief by any court of competent jurisdiction.

16.1 Arbitix may, at its sole discretion, suspend, restrict, or terminate your access to the Service at any time and for any reason, including without limitation for actual or suspected violations of these Terms, non-payment of fees, or simply for business reasons, with or without notice.

16.2 You may terminate your account at any time by contacting founder@arbitix.io or through the account deletion feature in your account settings, if available. Termination of your account does not entitle you to any refund except as expressly required by applicable law.

16.3 In the event of a change of control of Arbitix (including any merger, acquisition, or sale of all or substantially all assets), Arbitix reserves the right to transfer these Terms and your account to the acquiring entity. If you do not wish to continue using the Service under new ownership, you may terminate your account within 30 days of receiving notice of such change of control.

16.4 Upon termination of your account for any reason: (a) the license granted in Section 3 immediately terminates; (b) you must immediately cease all use of the Service; and (c) Arbitix may, but is not required to, delete your account data.

17.1 The following sections of these Terms shall survive termination or expiration of these Terms indefinitely and without time limitation: Section 1 (Definitions), Section 4 (Intellectual Property Ownership), Section 5 (Prohibited Uses), Section 6 (Competitor Access Prohibition), Section 7 (No Benchmarking), Section 8 (Data Ownership), Section 9 (User Content and Feedback), Section 11 (Market Data Disclaimer), Section 12 (Disclaimer of Warranties), Section 13 (Limitation of Liability), Section 14 (Indemnification), Section 15 (Injunctive Relief), and Section 18 (Governing Law).

17.2 In particular, all obligations relating to intellectual property, confidentiality of trade secrets, and indemnification shall survive termination permanently and without expiration. Termination of these Terms does not limit Arbitix's ability to pursue any remedies it may have for breach that occurred prior to or at the time of termination.

18.1 These Terms and any dispute, controversy, or claim arising out of or relating to these Terms or the Service shall be governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of the State of Delaware, United States of America, without regard to its conflict of law principles, except that the DTSA (18 U.S.C. § 1836) and the CFAA (18 U.S.C. § 1030) shall apply as federal law where applicable.

18.2 To the extent that any dispute is not subject to arbitration under Section 19, you consent to the exclusive personal jurisdiction and venue of the state and federal courts located in Delaware, United States, and you waive any objection to the exercise of jurisdiction over you by such courts.

18.3 The United Nations Convention on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods and the Uniform Computer Information Transactions Act do not apply to these Terms.

19.1 Informal Resolution. Before initiating any formal legal proceeding, you agree to first attempt to resolve any dispute with Arbitix informally by contacting founder@arbitix.io and providing a written description of the dispute, your desired resolution, and your contact information. Both parties agree to make good-faith efforts to resolve the dispute informally for a period of thirty (30) days.

19.2 Binding Arbitration. If the dispute is not resolved informally within 30 days, you and Arbitix agree that any remaining dispute, controversy, or claim arising out of or relating to these Terms or the Service shall be resolved by binding individual arbitration administered by the American Arbitration Association (AAA) under its Commercial Arbitration Rules then in effect. The arbitration shall be conducted in English. The arbitrator's decision shall be final and binding and may be entered as a judgment in any court of competent jurisdiction.

19.3 Small Claims Exception. Notwithstanding Section 19.2, either party may bring an individual claim in small claims court if the claim qualifies for such court's jurisdiction.

19.4 Injunctive Relief Exception.Notwithstanding Section 19.2, Arbitix may seek emergency or preliminary injunctive relief in any court of competent jurisdiction without first engaging in informal resolution or arbitration, as permitted under Section 15.

19.5 Class Action Waiver. TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, YOU AND ARBITIX EACH WAIVE ANY RIGHT TO PARTICIPATE AS A PLAINTIFF OR CLASS MEMBER IN ANY CLASS ACTION, COLLECTIVE ACTION, OR REPRESENTATIVE PROCEEDING. ARBITRATION OR COURT PROCEEDINGS SHALL BE CONDUCTED ON AN INDIVIDUAL BASIS ONLY.

19.6 Waiver of Jury Trial. TO THE EXTENT THAT ANY DISPUTE IS RESOLVED IN COURT RATHER THAN THROUGH ARBITRATION, YOU AND ARBITIX EACH IRREVOCABLY WAIVE ANY RIGHT TO A TRIAL BY JURY.

20.1 Arbitix reserves the right to modify, amend, or replace these Terms at any time and at its sole discretion. When changes are made, Arbitix will update the "Last updated" date at the top of this page and, for material changes, will provide notice through one or more of the following: an in-app notification, an email to your registered address, or a prominent notice on the Service.

20.2 Your continued use of the Service after any modification to the Terms constitutes your acceptance of the revised Terms. If you do not agree to the modified Terms, you must stop using the Service immediately and, if applicable, cancel your subscription.

20.3 Arbitix also reserves the right to modify, suspend, discontinue, or restrict any feature, functionality, data source, or portion of the Service at any time, with or without notice, and without liability to you.

If you have any questions, concerns, or legal notices relating to these Terms of Service, please contact Arbitix at: